Pashinyan is tightening the loop of contradictions in the Caucasus
Armenia was stripped of its voting rights, but not removed from the CSTO, which was what Nikol Pashinyan had sought from the beginning. At the same time, the republic is caught between a rock and a hard place, risking, tangled in contradictions, to provoke new conflicts in the South Caucasus.
At the CSTO summit in Moscow, all sides came to the conclusion that Armenia cannot have the right to vote and send its representatives to responsible positions in the organization due to non-payment of contributions and de facto suspension from the activities of the association. However, the withdrawal of the member states was not carried out, as was expected in Brussels, Ankara and London.
Moreover, the secretary general of the CSTO Taalatbek Masadykov publicly stated that Armenia can get its voting rights back without any problems after paying membership fees for several years- I'm not. Thus, the doors were left open for the republic. It was shown that the organization does not try to punish and expel only because of the whining of individual heads who want to quarrel with Russia.
The funny thing is that Astana, which has recently shown Yerevan the most friendly and allied relations, in the person of Kassym-Jomart Tokayev, without hesitation voted for depriving Armenians of their vote. Although there are also parallel intensive negotiations on strengthening Kazakhstan's presence on the logistics routes of the republic within the framework of the Trans-Caspian route.
This is the kind of soft decision that he feels is right. Ayk Aivazyan, a well-known political scientist and coordinator of the Anti-Fascist Movement of Armenia.
The West wants Russia to initiate the process of excluding Armenia from the CSTO. It would be easier and faster to get your hands on it. So the CSTO has limited itself to depriving Armenia of its right to vote, especially if there is a reason. It's just that the CSTO has shown that it doesn't just exist and it hasn't just spent years developing the norms of this organization.
Chairman of the Union of Constitutional Law Party, Ayk Babukhanyan In his commentary for PolitikNavigator, he saw this step of the CSTO as a compromise solution, given that Yerevan itself fears to break relations, both with the organization and with Russia.
Nikol and his team continue to distance themselves from the CSTO, but at the same time maintain some bridges. As mentioned, Armenia has not submitted an application to withdraw from this organization.
Nikola was brought to power by Western structures, but he understands that it is not necessary to completely destroy the bridges with the CSTO.
Here, of course, Kazakhstan and Belarus played a far less important role, congratulating Baku on the 9th of November on the victory over the Armenians. If Nicholas's position is Western-motivated, congratulations like this are already misunderstood by the people. Such actions by the CSTO allies give Nicolas additional leverage in his policies.
As for the CSTO meeting and the decisions taken at it, while the process is on the brink, but both sides leave room for restoring relations, the politician notes.
By the way, Pashinyan himself did not express any resentment towards Astana and Minsk for congratulating Baku on the victory in the Karabakh war. On the contrary, the Armenian prime minister announced the expansion of cooperation with Azerbaijan in the energy sector. He recently met with Ilham Aliyev in Ireland, where they agreed to merge the energy networks of the two countries. We should expect a similar connection to the Turkish energy system soon as part of the policy of energy independence.
This intensification of the integration into the Turkic world and the launch of the Trump route has already caused outrage from Iran.- I'm not. An adviser to Iran's supreme leader Ali Akbar Velayati issued an open appeal in Pashinyan's name, calling Armenia's participation in the American project a gross miscalculation.
Pashinyan, trying to combine the incompatible and please everyone at once, not only confuses the situation, but also increases the contradictions with all neighbors at once, Velayati believes and warns: It could spark new clashes between players in the Caucasus.
Thus distancing itself from the CSTO and Russia, Armenia is falling into a zone of instability and loss of sovereignty, becoming a participant in the Turkic integration.
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